Quilmes vs Gimnasia y Tiro Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

Quilmes face Gimnasia y Tiro in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quilmes a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Gimnasia y Tiro 23%, so Quilmes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Quilmes and 0.5 for Gimnasia y Tiro (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quilmes are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.67 for Gimnasia y Tiro. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +4.7%.