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All Boys vs Defensores De Belgrano Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 22 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

All Boys

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Defensores De Belgrano

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.9%0-113.2%0-23.5%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.4%1-111.4%1-23.0%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.2%2-14.9%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.7%3-11.4%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.6% 41.7% 2.40 +2.2%

Draw 33.6% 38.5% 2.60 -12.6%

Away win 23.9% 29.9% 3.35 -12.0%

Over 2.5 33.3% 27.8% 3.60 +19.9%

Over 3.5 13.0% 12.5% 8.00 +2.4%

BTTS 46.4% 40.0% 2.50 +16.0%

Home O1.5 33.3% 28.6% 3.50 +16.6%

Away O1.5 19.1% 22.2% 4.50 -8.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.4%

H 43% / xG 0.9-0.5 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.9%

#2 1–0 21.4%

#3 1–1 11.4%

#4 0–1 13.2%

#5 2–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

All Boys0.9

Defensores De Belgrano0.5

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ALL BOYS · PPG 1.60

DEFENSORES DE BELGRANO · PPG 1.10

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.33, combined xG 1.39 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

All Boys (H) 42.6%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +2.2%

Draw 33.6%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -12.6%

Defensores De Belgrano (A) 23.9%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -12.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

All Boys face Defensores De Belgrano in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives All Boys a 43% chance, the draw 34% and Defensores De Belgrano 24%, so All Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for All Boys and 0.5 for Defensores De Belgrano (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, All Boys are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.10 for Defensores De Belgrano. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +19.9%.

All Boys vs Defensores De Belgrano Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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