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Amazonas vs Anapolis Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 19:00

Amazonas

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Anapolis

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-18.0%0-22.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.5%1-111.4%1-23.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.2%2-18.1%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.3%3-13.9%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-11.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% 61.7% 1.62 -19.7%

Draw 27.0% 31.3% 3.20 -8.2%

Away win 23.4% 16.7% 6.00 +24.2%

Over 2.5 46.8% 40.8% 2.45 +14.7%

Over 3.5 28.0% 22.2% 4.50 +15.6%

BTTS 47.8% 44.4% 2.25 +7.5%

Home O1.5 41.6% 50.0% 2.00 -16.8%

Away O1.5 18.0% 18.2% 5.50 -0.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -44.4%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.8%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.6 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 18.5%

#2 0–0 13.0%

#3 2–0 13.2%

#4 1–1 11.4%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Amazonas1.4

Anapolis0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AMAZONAS · PPG 1.40

ANAPOLIS · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Amazonas (H) 49.6%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -19.7%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.2%

Anapolis (A) 23.4%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +24.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Amazonas face Anapolis in Brazil - Serie C on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Amazonas a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Anapolis 23%, so Amazonas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Amazonas and 0.6 for Anapolis (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Amazonas are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.00 for Anapolis. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +24.2%. This match finished 1-0.

Amazonas vs Anapolis Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Serie C Predictions