Ciudad Bolivar PPG 1.43
Deportivo Moron PPG 1.14Ciudad Bolivar face Deportivo Moron in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ciudad Bolivar a 31% chance, the draw 34% and Deportivo Moron 35%, so Deportivo Moron are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Ciudad Bolivar and 0.8 for Deportivo Moron (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ciudad Bolivar are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.14 for Deportivo Moron. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +27.1%.
Based on 114 resolved predictions
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.43), Away AVERAGE (1.14)