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Ciudad Bolivar vs Deportivo Moron Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 18 Estadio Municipal Eva Peron· Bolivar Saturday, June 13, 2026 19:00
Ciudad Bolivar logo Ciudad Bolivar PPG 1.43
VS PENDING
Deportivo Moron logo Deportivo Moron PPG 1.14
HomeO15· +27.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ciudad Bolivar face Deportivo Moron in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ciudad Bolivar a 31% chance, the draw 34% and Deportivo Moron 35%, so Deportivo Moron are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Ciudad Bolivar and 0.8 for Deportivo Moron (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ciudad Bolivar are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.14 for Deportivo Moron. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +27.1%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.3%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -15.5%
Draw 34.0%
Odds: 2.45 EV: -16.7%
Away 34.7%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +7.6%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 31.5% Odds: 3.75 +18.1%
Over 3.5 12.2% Odds: 9.00 +5.9%
BTTS 44.2% Odds: 2.62 +15.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Ciudad Bolivar
0.74
Deportivo Moron
0.76

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 114 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 73%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.43), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org