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Nueva Chicago vs Chacarita J. Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 18 Estadio Nueva Chicago· Buenos Aires Saturday, June 13, 2026 18:30
Nueva Chicago logo Nueva Chicago PPG 1.14
VS PENDING
Chacarita J. logo Chacarita J. PPG 0.29
Over3.5· +16.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nueva Chicago face Chacarita J. in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nueva Chicago a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Chacarita J. 23%, so Nueva Chicago are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Nueva Chicago and 0.6 for Chacarita J. (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nueva Chicago are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.29 for Chacarita J.. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +16.4%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.6%
Odds: 2.40 EV: +7.0%
Draw 32.1%
Odds: 2.62 EV: -15.9%
Away 23.3%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -13.9%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.9% Odds: 3.00 +4.7%
Over 3.5 18.2% Odds: 7.00 +16.4%
BTTS 47.4% Odds: 2.30 +9.0%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Nueva Chicago
1.00
Chacarita J.
0.61

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 114 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 73%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.14) vs P(Home)=44.6%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org