D. de Belgrano vs Colon Santa Fe Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 18 Estadio Juan Pasquale· Belgrano Saturday, June 13, 2026 18:30

D. de Belgrano PPG 1.29

VS PENDING

Colon Santa Fe PPG 1.00

HomeO15· +7.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

D. de Belgrano face Colon Santa Fe in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. de Belgrano a 32% chance, the draw 41% and Colon Santa Fe 27%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for D. de Belgrano and 0.6 for Colon Santa Fe (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. de Belgrano are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.00 for Colon Santa Fe. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +7.2%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.9%

Odds: 2.60 EV: -17.1%

Draw 40.9%

Odds: 2.50 EV: +2.3%

Away 27.2%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -7.8%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 21.2% Odds: 3.10 -20.6%

Over 3.5 11.8% Odds: 6.50 -14.0%

BTTS 42.9% Odds: 2.25 -3.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0

2nd 1-0

3rd 0-1

4th 1-1

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

D. de Belgrano

0.65

Colon Santa Fe

0.63

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 114 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5/Under 75%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 73%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.00)