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Almagro vs Agropecuario Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 18 Estadio Tres de Febrero· Jose Ingenieros Saturday, June 13, 2026 18:30
Almagro logo Almagro PPG 1.43
VS PENDING
Agropecuario logo Agropecuario PPG 0.86
Draw· +12.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Almagro face Agropecuario in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Almagro a 36% chance, the draw 40% and Agropecuario 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.9 for Almagro and 0.7 for Agropecuario (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Almagro are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.86 for Agropecuario. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +12.0%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.9%
Odds: 2.45 EV: -12.0%
Draw 40.0%
Odds: 2.80 EV: +12.0%
Away 24.1%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -16.6%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 21.2% Odds: 2.75 -25.0%
Over 3.5 12.2% Odds: 6.00 -16.1%
BTTS 44.2% Odds: 2.15 -5.0%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Almagro
0.85
Agropecuario
0.68

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 114 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 73%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.86)

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