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Dinamo Brest vs Neman Grodno Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 18:00

Dinamo Brest logo
Dinamo Brest
PPG 1.50 · HOME
1 – 3
FULL TIME
Neman Grodno logo
Neman Grodno
PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.8%0-115.0%0-25.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.6%1-112.7%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.5%2-15.4%2-22.0%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.1%3-11.5%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 39.9% 41.7% 2.40 -4.2%
Draw 32.5% 33.3% 3.00 -2.5%
Away win 27.6% 36.4% 2.75 -14.5%
Over 2.5 34.9% 46.3% 2.16 -24.6%
Over 3.5 18.2% 26.3% 3.80 -18.5%
BTTS 47.6% 54.6% 1.83 -12.9%
Home O1.5 33.0% 40.2% 2.49 -17.8%
Away O1.5 24.3% 33.9% 2.95 -17.0%

League track record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5 54%
BTTS 33%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -100.0%
Bet Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-3
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.6%

H 40% / xG 0.8-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.8%
#2 1–0 17.6%
#3 1–1 12.7%
#4 0–1 15.0%
#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Brest0.8
Neman Grodno0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO BREST · PPG 1.50

NEMAN GRODNO · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Brest (H) 39.9%
ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -4.2%
Draw 32.5%
ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -2.5%
Neman Grodno (A) 27.6%
ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -14.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Brest face Neman Grodno in Belarus - Premier League on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Brest a 40% chance, the draw 33% and Neman Grodno 28%, so Dinamo Brest are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Dinamo Brest and 0.7 for Neman Grodno (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Brest are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.75 for Neman Grodno. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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