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Midland vs A. Atlanta Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 17:30

Midland

PPG 2.13 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

A. Atlanta

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.2%0-116.8%0-25.6%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.9%1-112.0%1-24.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.4%2-14.3%2-21.4%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.5%3-11.0%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.9% 45.5% 2.20 -27.6%

Draw 36.5% 35.7% 2.80 +2.2%

Away win 30.6% 29.0% 3.45 +5.6%

Over 2.5 21.2% 33.3% 3.00 -21.8%

Over 3.5 12.2% 15.4% 6.50 -12.4%

BTTS 44.2% 43.5% 2.30 +1.7%

Home O1.5 33.0% 34.7% 2.88 -5.0%

Away O1.5 24.3% 23.8% 4.20 +1.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 195 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -2.0%

Bet Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.2%

D 36% / xG 0.7-0.7 / U2.5 21% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 25.2%

#2 1–0 17.9%

#3 0–1 16.8%

#4 1–1 12.0%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Midland0.7

A. Atlanta0.7

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 21.2% · O3.5 PROB 12.2%

Form & verdict PPG

MIDLAND · PPG 2.13

A. ATLANTA · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.13) > Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Midland (H) 32.9%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -27.6%

Draw 36.5%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +2.2%

A. Atlanta (A) 30.6%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +5.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Midland face A. Atlanta in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Midland a 33% chance, the draw 37% and A. Atlanta 31%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Midland and 0.7 for A. Atlanta (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Midland are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.67 for A. Atlanta. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.6%. This match finished 1-2.

Midland vs A. Atlanta Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera Nacional Predictions