Today / Teuta Durres vs AF Elbasani

Teuta Durres vs AF Elbasani Prediction

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 17:00

Teuta Durres

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

AF Elbasani

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.1%0-111.9%0-24.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.5%1-112.9%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.5%2-17.0%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.4%3-12.5%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.4% — — —

Draw 31.9% — — —

Away win 24.7% — — —

Over 2.5 27.6% — — —

Over 3.5 11.3% — — —

BTTS 34.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob34.6%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 28% / NoBTTS 35%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.5%

#2 0–0 16.1%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Teuta Durres1.1

AF Elbasani0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 27.6% · O3.5 PROB 11.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TEUTA DURRES · PPG 1.33

AF ELBASANI · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Teuta Durres (H) 43.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

AF Elbasani (A) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Teuta Durres face AF Elbasani on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Teuta Durres a 43% chance, the draw 32% and AF Elbasani 25%, so Teuta Durres are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Teuta Durres and 0.7 for AF Elbasani (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Teuta Durres are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.53 for AF Elbasani. This match finished 1-2.

Teuta Durres vs AF Elbasani Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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