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Dinamo Minsk vs Gomel Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 16:00

Dinamo Minsk

PPG 1.75 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Gomel

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-111.3%0-25.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.4%1-113.3%1-26.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.9%2-17.9%2-23.9%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.1%3-13.1%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% 58.8% 1.70 -24.9%

Draw 28.7% 32.3% 3.10 -6.6%

Away win 27.1% 20.8% 4.80 +18.1%

Over 2.5 47.1% 46.9% 2.13 +0.3%

Over 3.5 28.1% 27.0% 3.70 +2.4%

BTTS 47.8% 51.3% 1.95 -6.8%

Home O1.5 38.9% 51.0% 1.96 -23.8%

Away O1.5 30.4% 22.0% 4.55 +38.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -100.0%

Bet Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.8%

H 44% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.3%

#3 1–0 13.4%

#4 0–1 11.3%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Minsk1.2

Gomel1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO MINSK · PPG 1.75

GOMEL · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Minsk (H) 44.2%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -24.9%

Draw 28.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -6.6%

Gomel (A) 27.1%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +18.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Minsk face Gomel in Belarus - Premier League on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Minsk a 44% chance, the draw 29% and Gomel 27%, so Dinamo Minsk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dinamo Minsk and 1.0 for Gomel (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Minsk are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.60 for Gomel. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +38.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Dinamo Minsk vs Gomel Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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