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Dinamo Tirana vs KF Tirana Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Albania - Superliga logo Albania flag Albania - Superliga Regular Season - 32 Elbasan Arena· Elbasani Saturday, April 18, 2026 17:00
Dinamo Tirana logo Dinamo Tirana PPG 1.53
1-1 MISS
KF Tirana logo KF Tirana PPG 1.00
Home· +39.5% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Tirana face KF Tirana in Albania - Superliga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Tirana a 80% chance, the draw 15% and KF Tirana 6%, so Dinamo Tirana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Dinamo Tirana and 0.5 for KF Tirana (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Tirana are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.00 for KF Tirana. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +39.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 79.7%
Odds: 1.75 EV: +39.5%
Draw 14.6%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -52.5%
Away 5.7%
Odds: 4.33 EV: -75.3%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.0% Odds: 2.15 +14.0%
Over 3.5 30.8% Odds: —
BTTS 33.3% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 2-1
5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Dinamo Tirana
2.34
KF Tirana
0.46

Model Suggestion

Home +39.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%
O2.5/Under 40%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 40%
ROI -61.7%
Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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