ML Vitebsk vs Vitebsk Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Belarus - Premier League Regular Season - 11 Vitebsk CSK· Vitebsk Saturday, June 13, 2026 14:00

ML Vitebsk PPG 1.50

VS PENDING

Vitebsk PPG 0.40

Away· +1.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

ML Vitebsk face Vitebsk in Belarus - Premier League on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ML Vitebsk a 66% chance, the draw 22% and Vitebsk 12%, so ML Vitebsk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for ML Vitebsk and 0.4 for Vitebsk (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ML Vitebsk are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.40 for Vitebsk. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.2%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 65.8%

Odds: 1.35 EV: -11.2%

Draw 22.2%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -4.1%

Away 12.0%

Odds: 8.50 EV: +1.2%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.9% Odds: 1.89 -7.6%

Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 3.05 -8.6%

BTTS 45.9% Odds: 2.10 -3.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0

2nd 2-0

3rd 0-0

4th 3-0

5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

ML Vitebsk

1.79

Vitebsk

0.43

Model SuggestionHome -11.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -11.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 58%

BTTS/No 31%

Score Hit 39%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.50), Away POOR (0.40) - Strong consensus