Grobina vs RFS Prediction— Latvia - Virsliga

Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 17 Saturday, June 13, 2026 13:00

Grobina PPG 0.38

VS PENDING

RFS PPG 3.00

Home· +30.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Grobina face RFS in Latvia - Virsliga on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grobina a 12% chance, the draw 19% and RFS 69%, so RFS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Grobina and 2.2 for RFS (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grobina are averaging 0.38 points per game versus 3.00 for RFS. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 11.6%

Odds: 13.00 EV: +30.5%

Draw 19.3%

Odds: 5.50 EV: +3.7%

Away 69.1%

Odds: 1.18 EV: -18.5%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.4% Odds: 1.48 -19.5%

Over 3.5 32.5% Odds: 2.15 -30.1%

BTTS 47.6% Odds: 2.00 -4.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2

2nd 0-1

3rd 0-3

4th 1-1

5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Grobina

0.47

RFS

2.21

Model SuggestionAway -18.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -18.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+30.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 58%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 58%

ROI -24.0%

Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home POOR (0.38)