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Eskilstuna U. W vs Malmo FF W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 12:00

Eskilstuna U. W

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Malmo FF W

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.9%0-117.7%0-210.5%0-34.2%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.7%1-112.7%1-27.5%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-03.8%2-14.5%2-22.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.9%3-11.1%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.1% 17.4% 5.75 +33.5%

Draw 30.0% 24.4% 4.10 +23.0%

Away win 42.9% 69.4% 1.44 -38.2%

Over 2.5 43.2% 64.5% 1.55 -33.0%

Over 3.5 22.8% 40.0% 2.50 -25.8%

BTTS 47.8% 58.8% 1.70 -18.7%

Home O1.5 33.0% 25.0% 4.00 +32.0%

Away O1.5 32.9% 66.7% 1.50 -50.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.8%

A 43% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.9%

#2 0–1 17.7%

#3 1–1✓ 12.7%

#4 0–2 10.5%

#5 1–0 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eskilstuna U. W0.7

Malmo FF W1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ESKILSTUNA U. W · PPG 1.50

MALMO FF W · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Eskilstuna U. W (H) 27.1%

ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV +33.5%

Draw 30.0%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +23.0%

Malmo FF W (A) 42.9%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -38.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eskilstuna U. W face Malmo FF W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eskilstuna U. W a 27% chance, the draw 30% and Malmo FF W 43%, so Malmo FF W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Eskilstuna U. W and 1.2 for Malmo FF W (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eskilstuna U. W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.25 for Malmo FF W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +33.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Eskilstuna U. W vs Malmo FF W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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