Today / HIFK vs PEPO

HIFK vs PEPO Prediction

Saturday, June 13, 2026

HIFK

PPG 1.75 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

PEPO

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-18.3%0-26.3%0-33.2%0-4+1.7%1 1-07.5%1-111.5%1-28.8%1-34.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.2%2-18.0%2-26.1%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.4%3-13.7%3-22.8%3-31.4%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 38.3% — — —

Over 2.5 55.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.2% — — —

BTTS 59.2% — — —

Home O1.5 41.6% — — —

Away O1.5 49.4% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.2%

A 38% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1✓ 8.0%

#4 0–0 5.4%

#5 0–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HIFK1.4

PEPO1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HIFK · PPG 1.75

PEPO · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

HIFK (H) 36.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

PEPO (A) 38.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

HIFK face PEPO on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HIFK a 36% chance, the draw 25% and PEPO 38%, so PEPO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for HIFK and 1.5 for PEPO (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HIFK are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.00 for PEPO. This match finished 2-1.

HIFK vs PEPO Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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