Ilves face TPS on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ilves a 31% chance, the draw 27% and TPS 43%, so TPS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ilves and 1.4 for TPS (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ilves are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.50 for TPS.
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=30.6%