Today / Dingnan vs Guangdong GZP

Dingnan vs Guangdong GZP Prediction

Saturday, June 13, 2026

Dingnan
PPG 1.20 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Guangdong GZP
PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-110.8%0-27.7%0-33.6%0-4+1.8%1 1-08.8%1-112.5%1-28.9%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.1%2-17.2%2-25.1%2-32.4%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.0%3-12.8%3-22.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 34.5%
Draw 25.3%
Away win 40.2%
Over 2.5 54.3%
Over 3.5 32.5%
BTTS 55.7%
Home O1.5 38.6%
Away O1.5 33.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.7%

A 40% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%
#2 0–0 7.6%
#3 0–1 10.8%
#4 1–2 8.9%
#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dingnan1.2
Guangdong GZP1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.3% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DINGNAN · PPG 1.20

GUANGDONG GZP · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Dingnan (H) 34.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Guangdong GZP (A) 40.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dingnan face Guangdong GZP on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dingnan a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Guangdong GZP 40%, so Guangdong GZP are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dingnan and 1.4 for Guangdong GZP (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dingnan are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.75 for Guangdong GZP. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org