Today / Narva Trans vs Nomme Utd

Narva Trans vs Nomme Utd Prediction

Saturday, June 13, 2026

Narva Trans

PPG 1.29 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Nomme Utd

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.57)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.2%0-24.9%0-33.7%0-4+3.7%1 1-03.1%1-17.2%1-28.3%1-36.3%1-4+6.2%2 2-02.7%2-16.1%2-27.0%2-35.4%2-4+5.3%3 3-01.5%3-13.4%3-24.0%3-33.0%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.1%4+-22.5%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.8% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 44.5% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.6% — — —

BTTS 63.7% — — —

Home O1.5 54.8% — — —

Away O1.5 67.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.7%

A 44% / xG 1.7-2.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.2%

#2 1–2✓ 8.3%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–3 6.3%

#5 2–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Narva Trans1.7

Nomme Utd2.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.6%

Form & verdict PPG

NARVA TRANS · PPG 1.29

NOMME UTD · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Narva Trans (H) 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nomme Utd (A) 44.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Narva Trans face Nomme Utd on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Narva Trans a 34% chance, the draw 22% and Nomme Utd 45%, so Nomme Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Narva Trans and 2.3 for Nomme Utd (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Narva Trans are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.57 for Nomme Utd. This match finished 1-2.

Narva Trans vs Nomme Utd Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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