Today / S. Gongfu vs Suzhou Dongwu

S. Gongfu vs Suzhou Dongwu Prediction

Saturday, June 13, 2026

S. Gongfu

PPG 0.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Suzhou Dongwu

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-029.0%0-119.7%0-26.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.2%1-111.0%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-04.5%2-13.1%2-21.0%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.8%3-10.6%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% — — —

Draw 35.8% — — —

Away win 28.3% — — —

Over 2.5 34.9% — — —

Over 3.5 18.2% — — —

BTTS 44.2% — — —

Home O1.5 33.0% — — —

Away O1.5 24.3% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.2%

D 36% / xG 0.6-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 29.0%

#2 0–1 19.7%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 1–1 11.0%

#5 0–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Gongfu0.6

Suzhou Dongwu0.7

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

S. GONGFU · PPG 0.60

SUZHOU DONGWU · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.60), Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

S. Gongfu (H) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Suzhou Dongwu (A) 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Gongfu face Suzhou Dongwu on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Gongfu a 36% chance, the draw 36% and Suzhou Dongwu 28%, so S. Gongfu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for S. Gongfu and 0.7 for Suzhou Dongwu (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Gongfu are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.80 for Suzhou Dongwu.

S. Gongfu vs Suzhou Dongwu Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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