Today / Nanjing City vs Shanghai Jiadin

Nanjing City vs Shanghai Jiadin Prediction

Saturday, June 13, 2026

Nanjing City

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Shanghai Jiadin

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.3%0-112.9%0-24.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.5%1-113.0%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.8%2-16.6%2-22.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.0%3-12.2%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% — — —

Draw 31.9% — — —

Away win 23.8% — — —

Over 2.5 36.1% — — —

Over 3.5 18.2% — — —

BTTS 47.6% — — —

Home O1.5 36.7% — — —

Away O1.5 24.3% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.6%

H 44% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.3%

#2 1–0 17.5%

#3 1–1 13.0%

#4 0–1 12.9%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nanjing City1.0

Shanghai Jiadin0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.1% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NANJING CITY · PPG 2.00

SHANGHAI JIADIN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=44.3%

Win probability 1X2

Nanjing City (H) 44.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shanghai Jiadin (A) 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nanjing City face Shanghai Jiadin on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nanjing City a 44% chance, the draw 32% and Shanghai Jiadin 24%, so Nanjing City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Nanjing City and 0.7 for Shanghai Jiadin (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nanjing City are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Shanghai Jiadin. This match finished 1-2.

Nanjing City vs Shanghai Jiadin Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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