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Rosengard W vs Norrkoping W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 11:00

Rosengard W

PPG 0.25 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Norrkoping W

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.4% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-110.3%0-25.8%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.7%1-113.1%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.4%2-18.3%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.1%3-13.5%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% 47.6% 2.10 -7.2%

Draw 27.5% 28.6% 3.50 -2.3%

Away win 28.3% 35.7% 2.80 -12.5%

Over 2.5 48.9% 64.5% 1.55 -24.2%

Over 3.5 28.1% 40.0% 2.50 -17.8%

BTTS 52.4% 65.4% 1.53 -19.8%

Home O1.5 41.6% 54.6% 1.83 -23.9%

Away O1.5 32.8% 44.4% 2.25 -26.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.4%

H 44% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.2%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosengard W1.3

Norrkoping W1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSENGARD W · PPG 0.25

NORRKOPING W · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.25), Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Rosengard W (H) 44.2%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -7.2%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -2.3%

Norrkoping W (A) 28.3%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosengard W face Norrkoping W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosengard W a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Norrkoping W 28%, so Rosengard W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Rosengard W and 1.1 for Norrkoping W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosengard W are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 0.50 for Norrkoping W. This match finished 1-1.

Rosengard W vs Norrkoping W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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