AIK W vs Djurgarden W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Sweden - Damallsvenskan Regular Season - 9 Skytteholms IP· Solna Saturday, June 13, 2026 11:00

AIK W PPG 2.50

VS PENDING

Djurgarden W PPG 0.75

Home + Over 2.5· +20.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

AIK W face Djurgarden W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AIK W a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Djurgarden W 20%, so AIK W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for AIK W and 0.7 for Djurgarden W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AIK W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Djurgarden W. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +20.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.6%

Odds: 2.05 EV: +18.1%

Draw 22.4%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -14.3%

Away 20.0%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -24.0%

Model lean: Home

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.2% Odds: 1.65 -17.2%

Over 3.5 29.5% Odds: 2.62 -13.6%

BTTS 47.8% Odds: 1.57 -24.9%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0

2nd 1-0

3rd 1-1

4th 2-1

5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

AIK W

1.98

Djurgarden W

0.67

Model SuggestionHome +18.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 
Raw EV leader: Home + Over 2.5(+20.9%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 38%

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=57.6%