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Tenerife vs Arenas Club Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 33 Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz· Santa Cruz de Tenerife Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:30
Tenerife logo Tenerife PPG 2.06
2-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Arenas Club logo Arenas Club PPG 0.75
Over3.5· +12.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tenerife face Arenas Club in Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tenerife a 87% chance, the draw 10% and Arenas Club 3%, so Tenerife are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Tenerife and 0.4 for Arenas Club (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tenerife are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 0.75 for Arenas Club. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.6%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 86.5%
Odds: 1.25 EV: +8.1%
Draw 10.1%
Odds: 4.60 EV: -53.5%
Away 3.3%
Odds: 10.80 EV: -64.4%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.4% Odds: 1.75 +9.2%
Over 3.5 40.2% Odds: 2.80 +12.6%
BTTS 31.7% Odds: 2.15 -31.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 1-0
4th 4-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Tenerife
2.81
Arenas Club
0.41

Model Suggestion

Home +8.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+12.6%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.06), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org