Harju JK face Kuressaare on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Harju JK a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Kuressaare 24%, so Harju JK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Harju JK and 1.0 for Kuressaare (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Harju JK are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.57 for Kuressaare.
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.43) vs P(Home)=50.9%