Today / Mungyeong W vs Gyeongju W

Mungyeong W vs Gyeongju W Prediction

Saturday, June 13, 2026

Mungyeong W

PPG 1.17 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Gyeongju W

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-18.6%0-24.2%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.9%1-112.5%1-26.1%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.3%2-19.1%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.5%3-14.4%3-22.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.2%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.7% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 28.0% — — —

Over 2.5 48.9% — — —

Over 3.5 29.1% — — —

BTTS 52.4% — — —

Home O1.5 43.7% — — —

Away O1.5 28.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.4%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.0 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–0 12.9%

#3 0–0 8.9%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mungyeong W1.4

Gyeongju W1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 29.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MUNGYEONG W · PPG 1.17

GYEONGJU W · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Mungyeong W (H) 45.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gyeongju W (A) 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mungyeong W face Gyeongju W on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mungyeong W a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Gyeongju W 28%, so Mungyeong W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Mungyeong W and 1.0 for Gyeongju W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mungyeong W are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.40 for Gyeongju W. This match finished 0-3.

Mungyeong W vs Gyeongju W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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