Today / Canberra White vs C. Croatia

Canberra White vs C. Croatia Prediction

Saturday, June 13, 2026

Canberra White
PPG 0.14 · HOME
4 – 5
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5
C. Croatia
PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home POOR (0.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.9%0-22.6%0-34.8%0-4+36.5%1 1-00.1%1-10.7%1-22.0%1-33.8%1-4+29.2%2 2-00.1%2-10.3%2-20.8%2-31.5%2-4+11.7%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.2%3-30.4%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 10.8%
Draw 15.9%
Away win 73.3%
Over 2.5 81.2%
Over 3.5 68.3%
BTTS 55.7%
Home O1.5 33.0%
Away O1.5 100.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 57%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-5
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)5.6 BTTS prob55.7%

A 73% / xG 0.8-5.6 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–5 7.6%
#2 0–4 6.7%
#3 1–5 6.1%
#4 1–4 5.4%
#5 0–3 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Canberra White0.8
C. Croatia5.6

COMBINED 6.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.2% · O3.5 PROB 68.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CANBERRA WHITE · PPG 0.14

C. CROATIA · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home POOR (0.14)

Win probability 1X2

Canberra White (H) 10.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 15.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
C. Croatia (A) 73.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Canberra White face C. Croatia on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Canberra White a 11% chance, the draw 16% and C. Croatia 73%, so C. Croatia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Canberra White and 5.6 for C. Croatia (6.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-5. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Canberra White are averaging 0.14 points per game versus 2.50 for C. Croatia. This match finished 4-5.

PredictVantage

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