Today / Finn Harps vs UC Dublin

Finn Harps vs UC Dublin Prediction

Friday, June 12, 2026

Finn Harps

PPG 1.44 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

UC Dublin

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-113.5%0-29.7%0-34.6%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.8%1-112.6%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.1%2-15.8%2-24.2%2-32.0%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.3%3-11.8%3-21.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.7% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 45.8% — — —

Over 2.5 48.9% — — —

Over 3.5 29.0% — — —

BTTS 52.2% — — —

Home O1.5 33.0% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.2%

A 46% / xG 0.9-1.4 / U2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1 13.5%

#3 0–0 9.5%

#4 0–2 9.7%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Finn Harps0.9

UC Dublin1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FINN HARPS · PPG 1.44

UC DUBLIN · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

Finn Harps (H) 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UC Dublin (A) 45.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Finn Harps face UC Dublin on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Finn Harps a 29% chance, the draw 26% and UC Dublin 46%, so UC Dublin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Finn Harps and 1.4 for UC Dublin (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Finn Harps are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.22 for UC Dublin. This match finished 0-5.

Finn Harps vs UC Dublin Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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