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Campbelltown vs West Torrens Prediction— Australia - South Australia NPL

Regular Season - 14 ·Friday, June 12, 2026, 10:00

Campbelltown

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

West Torrens

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 66.7% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.5%0-23.5%0-32.4%0-4+1.9%1 1-03.5%1-17.0%1-27.2%1-34.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.5%2-17.2%2-27.3%2-35.0%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.4%3-14.9%3-25.0%3-33.4%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-14.0%4+-24.1%4+-32.8%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.1% 39.2% 2.55 +9.9%

Draw 22.0% 26.7% 3.75 -10.5%

Away win 34.9% 45.5% 2.20 -23.2%

Over 2.5 65.8% 71.4% 1.40 -7.9%

Over 3.5 45.2% 54.1% 1.85 -16.4%

BTTS 66.7% 73.5% 1.36 -9.3%

Home O1.5 60.0% 54.6% 1.83 +9.8%

Away O1.5 49.4% 59.9% 1.67 -17.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 22%

ROI 4.6%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob66.7%

H 43% / xG 2.0-2.0 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.0%

#2 2–2 7.3%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 1–2✓ 7.2%

#5 3–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Campbelltown2.0

West Torrens2.0

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 45.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CAMPBELLTOWN · PPG 1.67

WEST TORRENS · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Campbelltown (H) 43.1%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +9.9%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -10.5%

West Torrens (A) 34.9%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -23.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Campbelltown face West Torrens in Australia - South Australia NPL on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Campbelltown a 43% chance, the draw 22% and West Torrens 35%, so Campbelltown are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Campbelltown and 2.0 for West Torrens (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Campbelltown are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.67 for West Torrens. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +11.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Campbelltown vs West Torrens Prediction— Australia - South Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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