Today / Sweden - Damallsvenskan / Vittsjo W vs Kristianstads W

Vittsjo W vs Kristianstads W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, June 12, 2026, 17:00

Vittsjo W

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kristianstads W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.7% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-18.7%0-26.4%0-33.1%0-4+1.6%1 1-08.0%1-111.8%1-28.7%1-34.3%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.4%2-18.0%2-25.9%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.5%3-13.6%3-22.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.2% 34.5% 2.90 +16.6%

Draw 24.6% 32.3% 3.10 -14.2%

Away win 35.3% 46.5% 2.15 -24.1%

Over 2.5 54.4% 57.8% 1.73 -5.9%

Over 3.5 32.5% 36.4% 2.75 -10.6%

BTTS 55.7% 61.7% 1.62 -9.8%

Home O1.5 41.6% 40.0% 2.50 +4.0%

Away O1.5 49.4% 52.4% 1.91 -5.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.7%

A 35% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.8%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 0–0 5.9%

#5 0–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vittsjo W1.4

Kristianstads W1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VITTSJO W · PPG 1.50

KRISTIANSTADS W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Vittsjo W (H) 40.2%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +16.6%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.2%

Kristianstads W (A) 35.3%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -24.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vittsjo W face Kristianstads W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vittsjo W a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Kristianstads W 35%, so Vittsjo W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Vittsjo W and 1.5 for Kristianstads W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vittsjo W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.33 for Kristianstads W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +16.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Vittsjo W vs Kristianstads W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Damallsvenskan Predictions