Lund face Ariana on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lund a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Ariana 28%, so Lund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Lund and 1.2 for Ariana (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lund are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Ariana.
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=49.6%