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Zalgiris vs Riteriai Prediction

Friday, June 12, 2026

Zalgiris

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Riteriai

PPG 0.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.25), Away POOR (0.13) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-12.3%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.0%1-15.6%1-21.1%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.2%2-17.0%2-21.4%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-014.2%3-15.7%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-015.7%4+-16.4%4+-21.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.5% — — —

Draw 18.9% — — —

Away win 14.7% — — —

Over 2.5 56.1% — — —

Over 3.5 36.2% — — —

BTTS 47.6% — — —

Home O1.5 61.0% — — —

Away O1.5 0.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob47.6%

H 66% / xG 2.5-0.4 / O2.5 56% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.2%

#2 3–0 14.2%

#3 1–0 14.0%

#4 4–0 8.8%

#5 2–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zalgiris2.5

Riteriai0.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ZALGIRIS · PPG 1.25

RITERIAI · PPG 0.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.25), Away POOR (0.13) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Zalgiris (H) 66.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Riteriai (A) 14.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zalgiris face Riteriai on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zalgiris a 67% chance, the draw 19% and Riteriai 15%, so Zalgiris are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Zalgiris and 0.4 for Riteriai (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zalgiris are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.13 for Riteriai.

Zalgiris vs Riteriai Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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