Today / Iberia vs Spaeri

Iberia vs Spaeri Prediction

Friday, June 12, 2026

Iberia

PPG 2.14 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Spaeri

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=49.2%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-19.3%0-24.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.0%1-112.7%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.2%2-18.6%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.6%3-13.9%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 48.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.1% — — —

BTTS 50.8% — — —

Home O1.5 41.6% — — —

Away O1.5 24.3% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob50.8%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 49% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.7%

#2 1–0 15.0%

#3 0–0 11.0%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Iberia1.4

Spaeri0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

IBERIA · PPG 2.14

SPAERI · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=49.2%

Win probability 1X2

Iberia (H) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Spaeri (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Iberia face Spaeri on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Iberia a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Spaeri 23%, so Iberia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Iberia and 0.8 for Spaeri (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Iberia are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.14 for Spaeri. This match finished 1-1.

Iberia vs Spaeri Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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