Today / Suwon FMC W vs Sejong W

Suwon FMC W vs Sejong W Prediction

Friday, June 12, 2026

Suwon FMC W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sejong W

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-16.0%0-23.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.6%1-110.8%1-26.1%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.8%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.2%3-15.9%3-23.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-14.0%4+-22.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 23.5% — — —

Over 2.5 60.6% — — —

Over 3.5 39.2% — — —

BTTS 60.5% — — —

Home O1.5 54.8% — — —

Away O1.5 32.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.5%

H 54% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 0–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suwon FMC W1.8

Sejong W1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SUWON FMC W · PPG 2.00

SEJONG W · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Win probability 1X2

Suwon FMC W (H) 53.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sejong W (A) 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suwon FMC W face Sejong W on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suwon FMC W a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Sejong W 24%, so Suwon FMC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Suwon FMC W and 1.1 for Sejong W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suwon FMC W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.25 for Sejong W. This match finished 6-0.

Suwon FMC W vs Sejong W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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