Hestrafor vs Dalstorps Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland Västra Götaland - 12 Thursday, June 11, 2026 17:00

Hestrafor PPG 1.40

VS PENDING

Dalstorps PPG 1.20

Home· +2.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hestrafor face Dalstorps in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Thursday, June 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hestrafor a 40% chance, the draw 24% and Dalstorps 36%, so Hestrafor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Hestrafor and 1.6 for Dalstorps (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hestrafor are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.20 for Dalstorps. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.2%

Odds: 2.55 EV: +2.5%

Draw 23.9%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -8.4%

Away 35.9%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -17.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.2% Odds: 1.48 -5.0%

Over 3.5 39.8% Odds: 2.20 -12.4%

BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.40 -12.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 2-1

4th 2-2

5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Hestrafor

1.53

Dalstorps

1.64

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -5.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -5.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+2.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 71%

Score Hit 36%

ROI 43.8%

Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.20)