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Landvetter vs Vastra Frolunda Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 11 ·Friday, June 5, 2026, 17:00

Landvetter

PPG 2.40 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Vastra Frolunda

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.5% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-19.3%0-25.3%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.1%1-112.7%1-27.2%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.6%2-18.7%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.5%3-14.0%3-22.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% 52.6% 1.90 -27.0%

Draw 27.0% 26.3% 3.80 +1.6%

Away win 34.6% 30.3% 3.30 +14.2%

Over 2.5 48.7% 69.4% 1.44 -29.9%

Over 3.5 28.1% 47.6% 2.10 -24.6%

BTTS 52.5% 71.4% 1.40 -26.5%

Home O1.5 46.9% 63.7% 1.57 -26.4%

Away O1.5 32.0% 46.5% 2.15 -31.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 19%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.5%

H 38% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 8.2%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Landvetter1.4

Vastra Frolunda1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LANDVETTER · PPG 2.40

VASTRA FROLUNDA · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.40), Away EXCELLENT (2.50)

Win probability 1X2

Landvetter (H) 38.4%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -27.0%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +1.6%

Vastra Frolunda (A) 34.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +14.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Landvetter face Vastra Frolunda in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Landvetter a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Vastra Frolunda 35%, so Landvetter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Landvetter and 1.1 for Vastra Frolunda (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Landvetter are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 2.50 for Vastra Frolunda. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.2%. This match finished 3-0.

Landvetter vs Vastra Frolunda Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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