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Torslanda vs Hestrafor Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 11 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 11:00

Torslanda

PPG 1.20 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hestrafor

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.4% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-15.7%0-25.0%0-32.9%0-4+1.9%1 1-05.5%1-19.6%1-28.4%1-34.9%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.6%2-18.0%2-27.0%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.5%3-14.4%3-23.9%3-32.3%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.7%4+-22.4%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% 55.6% 1.80 -35.9%

Draw 22.5% 25.3% 3.95 -6.7%

Away win 41.9% 29.4% 3.40 +42.5%

Over 2.5 64.4% 69.0% 1.45 -6.6%

Over 3.5 42.0% 46.5% 2.15 -9.7%

BTTS 63.5% 70.4% 1.42 -9.8%

Home O1.5 55.0% 64.5% 1.55 -14.8%

Away O1.5 44.6% 45.5% 2.20 -1.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.5%

A 42% / xG 1.7-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 2–2✓ 7.0%

#5 0–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torslanda1.7

Hestrafor1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.4% · O3.5 PROB 42.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TORSLANDA · PPG 1.20

HESTRAFOR · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Torslanda (H) 35.6%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -35.9%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -6.7%

Hestrafor (A) 41.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +42.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torslanda face Hestrafor in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torslanda a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Hestrafor 42%, so Hestrafor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Torslanda and 1.7 for Hestrafor (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torslanda are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.80 for Hestrafor. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +42.5%. This match finished 2-2.

Torslanda vs Hestrafor Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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