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Vastra Frolunda vs Dalstorps Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 11:00

Vastra Frolunda

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Dalstorps

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.1%0-23.0%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.0%1-18.7%1-26.4%1-33.1%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.3%2-19.1%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.4%3-16.4%3-24.7%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-15.5%4+-24.0%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% 54.1% 1.85 -1.9%

Draw 22.1% 26.0% 3.85 -8.9%

Away win 25.0% 30.3% 3.30 -10.5%

Over 2.5 65.8% 71.4% 1.40 -7.9%

Over 3.5 43.1% 50.0% 2.00 -13.8%

BTTS 63.4% 72.5% 1.38 -12.5%

Home O1.5 62.1% 64.5% 1.55 -3.7%

Away O1.5 43.0% 47.6% 2.10 -9.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.4%

H 53% / xG 2.1-1.5 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.7%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 3–1 6.4%

#5 1–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vastra Frolunda2.1

Dalstorps1.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VASTRA FROLUNDA · PPG 2.00

DALSTORPS · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Vastra Frolunda (H) 53.0%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -1.9%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -8.9%

Dalstorps (A) 25.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -10.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vastra Frolunda face Dalstorps in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vastra Frolunda a 53% chance, the draw 22% and Dalstorps 25%, so Vastra Frolunda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Vastra Frolunda and 1.5 for Dalstorps (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vastra Frolunda are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Dalstorps. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +4.3%. This match finished 1-1.

Vastra Frolunda vs Dalstorps Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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