Sweden - Division 2 - Västra GötalandVästra Götaland - 11Friday, June 5, 202617:00
JonseredPPG 1.75
VSPENDING
GaltabäcksPPG 0.60
Away· +25.9%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home43.5%
Odds: 1.73EV: -24.8%
Draw22.0%
Odds: 4.00EV: -7.2%
Away34.5%
Odds: 3.65EV: +25.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5Not tracked as an official bet.
Goals Markets
Over 2.564.1%Odds: 1.38-11.5%
Over 3.540.7%Odds: 1.95-20.6%
BTTS62.2%Odds: 1.38-14.2%
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1
2nd2-1
3rd1-2
4th2-2
5th2-0
Expected Goals (xG)
Jonsered
1.90
Galtabäcks
1.49
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5-11.5%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+25.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=43.5%