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Torslanda vs Jonsered Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 11:00

Torslanda

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Jonsered

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.2% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.7%0-23.7%0-32.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-05.8%1-19.1%1-27.2%1-33.8%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.6%3-15.7%3-24.5%3-32.3%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.2%4+-23.3%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% 52.6% 1.90 -5.4%

Draw 22.5% 26.7% 3.75 -9.4%

Away win 27.7% 30.8% 3.25 -6.0%

Over 2.5 65.2% 69.0% 1.45 -5.5%

Over 3.5 43.1% 46.5% 2.15 -7.3%

BTTS 63.4% 70.4% 1.42 -10.0%

Home O1.5 57.4% 62.5% 1.60 -8.2%

Away O1.5 46.7% 46.5% 2.15 +0.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.4%

H 50% / xG 1.9-1.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torslanda1.9

Jonsered1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TORSLANDA · PPG 1.50

JONSERED · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Torslanda (H) 49.8%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -5.4%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -9.4%

Jonsered (A) 27.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torslanda face Jonsered in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torslanda a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Jonsered 28%, so Torslanda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Torslanda and 1.6 for Jonsered (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torslanda are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.40 for Jonsered. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +0.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Torslanda vs Jonsered Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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