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Dalstorps vs Onsala Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 11 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 12:00

Dalstorps

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Onsala

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-16.9%0-23.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.0%1-111.5%1-26.1%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.2%2-19.6%2-25.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.1%3-15.4%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.3%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 44.4% 2.25 +9.8%

Draw 24.3% 28.6% 3.50 -9.0%

Away win 26.9% 37.0% 2.70 -16.4%

Over 2.5 54.1% 65.4% 1.53 -17.2%

Over 3.5 35.7% 43.5% 2.30 -17.9%

BTTS 55.4% 70.4% 1.42 -21.3%

Home O1.5 55.0% 55.6% 1.80 -1.0%

Away O1.5 32.0% 50.0% 2.00 -36.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.4%

H 49% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–0 11.0%

#4 2–0 9.2%

#5 0–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalstorps1.7

Onsala1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DALSTORPS · PPG 2.00

ONSALA · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Dalstorps (H) 48.8%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +9.8%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -9.0%

Onsala (A) 26.9%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -16.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalstorps face Onsala in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalstorps a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Onsala 27%, so Dalstorps are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Dalstorps and 1.0 for Onsala (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalstorps are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Onsala. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.8%. This match finished 3-1.

Dalstorps vs Onsala Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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