Helsingborg vs Landskrona Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Sweden - Superettan Regular Season - 11 Olympia· Helsingborg Thursday, June 11, 2026 17:00

Helsingborg PPG 1.67

VS PENDING

Landskrona PPG 1.40

Over3.5· +8.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Helsingborg face Landskrona in Sweden - Superettan on Thursday, June 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Helsingborg a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Landskrona 37%, so Landskrona are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Helsingborg and 1.4 for Landskrona (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Helsingborg are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.40 for Landskrona. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.6%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.9%

Odds: 2.50 EV: -7.8%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -5.8%

Away 37.3%

Odds: 2.65 EV: -1.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.5% Odds: 1.83 +1.6%

Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 3.00 +8.6%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.60 -4.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 2-1

4th 0-0

5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Helsingborg

1.41

Landskrona

1.42

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+8.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 55%

BTTS/No 58%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 2.3%

Bet Hit 58% (19 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away AVERAGE (1.40)