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Helsingborg vs Landskrona Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 11 ·Thursday, June 11, 2026, 17:00

Helsingborg

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Landskrona

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-18.4%0-25.9%0-32.8%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.4%1-111.8%1-28.4%1-33.9%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.9%2-18.4%2-25.9%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.8%3-13.9%3-22.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.9%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.9% 40.0% 2.50 -7.8%

Draw 25.8% 28.6% 3.50 -5.8%

Away win 37.3% 37.7% 2.65 -1.2%

Over 2.5 55.5% 54.6% 1.83 +1.6%

Over 3.5 36.2% 33.3% 3.00 +8.6%

BTTS 59.7% 62.5% 1.60 -4.5%

Home O1.5 41.6% 45.5% 2.20 -8.5%

Away O1.5 33.0% 43.5% 2.30 -24.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.4%

#4 0–0 5.9%

#5 0–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Helsingborg1.4

Landskrona1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HELSINGBORG · PPG 1.67

LANDSKRONA · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Helsingborg (H) 36.9%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -7.8%

Draw 25.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -5.8%

Landskrona (A) 37.3%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -1.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Helsingborg face Landskrona in Sweden - Superettan on Thursday, June 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Helsingborg a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Landskrona 37%, so Landskrona are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Helsingborg and 1.4 for Landskrona (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Helsingborg are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.40 for Landskrona. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.6%. This match finished 0-3.

Helsingborg vs Landskrona Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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