Today / USA - USL Championship / Detroit City vs El Paso

Detroit City vs El Paso Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Group Stage ·Wednesday, June 10, 2026, 23:30

Detroit City

PPG 3.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

El Paso

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.7% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-17.7%0-24.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.4%1-112.0%1-26.9%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.3%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.2%3-14.8%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% 52.4% 1.91 -6.6%

Draw 24.1% 29.0% 3.45 -10.1%

Away win 27.1% 29.4% 3.40 -4.7%

Over 2.5 54.4% 56.5% 1.77 -3.7%

Over 3.5 32.5% 33.9% 2.95 -4.1%

BTTS 55.7% 60.6% 1.65 -8.1%

Home O1.5 48.6% 54.1% 1.85 -10.1%

Away O1.5 32.8% 36.4% 2.75 -9.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 86 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -4.1%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.7%

H 49% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.0%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 10.4%

#4 0–0 6.7%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Detroit City1.5

El Paso1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DETROIT CITY · PPG 3.00

EL PASO · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=48.9%

Win probability 1X2

Detroit City (H) 48.9%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -6.6%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -10.1%

El Paso (A) 27.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -4.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Detroit City face El Paso in USA - USL Championship on Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Detroit City a 49% chance, the draw 24% and El Paso 27%, so Detroit City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Detroit City and 1.1 for El Paso (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Detroit City are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.00 for El Paso. This match finished 1-1.

Detroit City vs El Paso Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More USA - USL Championship Predictions