Detroit City vs El Paso Prediction— USA - USL Championship

USA - USL Championship Group Stage Keyworth Stadium Wednesday, June 10, 2026 23:30

Detroit City PPG 3.00

VS PENDING

El Paso PPG 2.00

Over2.5· -3.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Detroit City face El Paso in USA - USL Championship on Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Detroit City a 49% chance, the draw 24% and El Paso 27%, so Detroit City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Detroit City and 1.1 for El Paso (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Detroit City are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.00 for El Paso.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.9%

Odds: 1.91 EV: -6.6%

Draw 24.1%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -10.1%

Away 27.1%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -4.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.4% Odds: 1.77 -3.7%

Over 3.5 32.5% Odds: 2.95 -4.1%

BTTS 55.7% Odds: 1.65 -8.1%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-0

4th 0-0

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Detroit City

1.55

El Paso

1.15

Model SuggestionBTTS -8.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.8%

Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=48.9%