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Orebro vs GIF Sundsvall Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 11 ·Wednesday, June 10, 2026, 17:00

Orebro logo
Orebro
PPG 1.40 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
GIF Sundsvall logo
GIF Sundsvall
PPG 0.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.7%0-19.5%0-23.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.7%1-112.3%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.5%2-18.0%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.0%3-13.4%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 49.3% 50.0% 2.00 -1.4%
Draw 27.4% 29.4% 3.40 -4.1%
Away win 23.3% 27.4% 3.65 -9.0%
Over 2.5 47.1% 51.3% 1.95 -8.2%
Over 3.5 28.1% 29.0% 3.45 -1.8%
BTTS 47.8% 57.8% 1.73 -17.3%
Home O1.5 41.6% 50.0% 2.00 -16.8%
Away O1.5 24.3% 33.3% 3.00 -16.3%

League track record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 52%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 35%
ROI -3.6%
Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.8%

H 49% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.7%
#2 0–0 13.7%
#3 1–1 12.3%
#4 2–0 11.5%
#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Orebro1.3
GIF Sundsvall0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

OREBRO · PPG 1.40

GIF SUNDSVALL · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Orebro (H) 49.3%
ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -1.4%
Draw 27.4%
ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -4.1%
GIF Sundsvall (A) 23.3%
ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -9.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Orebro face GIF Sundsvall in Sweden - Superettan on Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orebro a 49% chance, the draw 27% and GIF Sundsvall 23%, so Orebro are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Orebro and 0.7 for GIF Sundsvall (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orebro are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.00 for GIF Sundsvall. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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