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Ipswich vs Robina City Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 13 ·Tuesday, June 9, 2026, 09:30

Ipswich

PPG 1.71 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Robina City

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-13.5%0-22.1%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.9%1-18.2%1-24.9%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.1%2-19.6%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.3%3-17.4%3-24.4%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-06.4%4+-17.5%4+-24.5%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.8% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 20.1% — — —

Over 2.5 64.4% — — —

Over 3.5 42.0% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 61.0% — — —

Away O1.5 32.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.6%

H 58% / xG 2.3-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.6%

#2 1–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 3–1 7.4%

#5 3–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ipswich2.3

Robina City1.2

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.4% · O3.5 PROB 42.0%

Form & verdict PPG

IPSWICH · PPG 1.71

ROBINA CITY · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=57.8%

Win probability 1X2

Ipswich (H) 57.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Robina City (A) 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ipswich face Robina City in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Tuesday, June 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ipswich a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Robina City 20%, so Ipswich are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Ipswich and 1.2 for Robina City (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ipswich are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.40 for Robina City. This match finished 0-1.

Ipswich vs Robina City Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Queensland Premier League Predictions