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Ipswich vs Robina City Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Saturday, May 30, 2026, 07:00

Ipswich

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Robina City

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-15.1%0-23.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.5%1-110.0%1-25.9%1-32.3%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.8%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.5%3-16.4%3-23.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-15.0%4+-22.9%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.5% — — —

BTTS 61.0% — — —

Home O1.5 58.5% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.0%

H 54% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 1–0 8.5%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ipswich2.0

Robina City1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

IPSWICH · PPG 1.71

ROBINA CITY · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=53.7%

Win probability 1X2

Ipswich (H) 53.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Robina City (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ipswich face Robina City in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ipswich a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Robina City 24%, so Ipswich are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Ipswich and 1.2 for Robina City (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ipswich are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.50 for Robina City.

Ipswich vs Robina City Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Queensland Premier League Predictions