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Broadbeach Utd vs Holland Park H. Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 08:00

Broadbeach Utd

PPG 2.60 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Holland Park H.

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 74.3% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.0%0-21.1%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.4%1-15.8%1-23.1%1-31.1%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.9%2-18.5%2-24.5%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.7%3-18.2%3-24.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-011.4%4+-112.2%4+-26.6%4+-32.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.2% 71.4% 1.40 -11.5%

Draw 18.8% 20.8% 4.80 -5.9%

Away win 17.9% 18.5% 5.40 -2.0%

Over 2.5 65.4% 82.0% 1.22 -20.2%

Over 3.5 46.8% 64.5% 1.55 -27.5%

BTTS 61.4% 76.9% 1.30 -20.2%

Home O1.5 74.3% 83.3% 1.20 -10.8%

Away O1.5 32.0% 46.5% 2.15 -31.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob61.4%

H 63% / xG 2.9-1.1 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.5%

#2 3–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 7.9%

#4 3–0 7.7%

#5 1–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Broadbeach Utd2.9

Holland Park H.1.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BROADBEACH UTD · PPG 2.60

HOLLAND PARK H. · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=63.2%

Win probability 1X2

Broadbeach Utd (H) 63.2%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -11.5%

Draw 18.8%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV -5.9%

Holland Park H. (A) 17.9%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV -2.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Broadbeach Utd face Holland Park H. in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Broadbeach Utd a 63% chance, the draw 19% and Holland Park H. 18%, so Broadbeach Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Broadbeach Utd and 1.1 for Holland Park H. (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Broadbeach Utd are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.40 for Holland Park H.. This match finished 1-0.

Broadbeach Utd vs Holland Park H. Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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