Today / Australia - Queensland Premier League / St George W. vs Redlands

St George W. vs Redlands Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 06:30

St George W.

PPG 0.00 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Redlands

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 62.2% vs bookmaker-implied 52.4% — a clear edge.

+18.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-113.1%0-213.4%0-39.1%0-4+7.5%1 1-04.5%1-19.2%1-29.4%1-36.4%1-4+5.2%2 2-01.6%2-13.2%2-23.3%2-32.2%2-4+1.8%3 3-00.4%3-10.8%3-20.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.2% 32.3% 3.10 -29.9%

Draw 21.6% 26.3% 3.80 -10.8%

Away win 62.2% 52.4% 1.91 +18.8%

Over 2.5 60.7% 72.5% 1.38 -16.2%

Over 3.5 37.8% 51.3% 1.95 -26.3%

BTTS 52.2% 74.1% 1.35 -29.5%

Home O1.5 33.7% 50.0% 2.00 -32.6%

Away O1.5 44.6% 64.5% 1.55 -30.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob52.2%

A 62% / xG 0.7-2.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.4%

#2 0–1 13.1%

#3 1–1 9.2%

#4 1–2 9.4%

#5 0–3✓ 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St George W.0.7

Redlands2.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ST GEORGE W. · PPG 0.00

REDLANDS · PPG 0.80

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

St George W. (H) 16.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -29.9%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -10.8%

Redlands (A) 62.2%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV +18.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

St George W. face Redlands in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St George W. a 16% chance, the draw 22% and Redlands 62%, so Redlands are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for St George W. and 2.0 for Redlands (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St George W. are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.80 for Redlands. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +18.8%. This match finished 0-3.

St George W. vs Redlands Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Queensland Premier League Predictions