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SC Wanderers vs St George W. Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 11 ·Wednesday, June 3, 2026, 09:30

SC Wanderers

PPG 1.20 · HOME

8 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

St George W.

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 56.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-15.5%0-21.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-015.7%1-110.0%1-23.2%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.2%2-19.0%2-22.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.5%3-15.4%3-21.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-13.7%4+-21.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.6% 65.4% 1.53 -13.4%

Draw 22.7% 23.8% 4.20 -2.8%

Away win 20.7% 21.1% 4.75 -1.0%

Over 2.5 53.7% 70.4% 1.42 -23.8%

Over 3.5 32.2% 48.8% 2.05 -34.0%

BTTS 48.7% 69.0% 1.45 -29.4%

Home O1.5 55.0% 70.4% 1.42 -21.9%

Away O1.5 22.4% 37.7% 2.65 -24.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 8-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.7%

H 57% / xG 1.8-0.6 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.7%

#2 2–0 14.2%

#3 1–1 10.0%

#4 0–0 8.7%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SC Wanderers1.8

St George W.0.6

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SC WANDERERS · PPG 1.20

ST GEORGE W. · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

SC Wanderers (H) 56.6%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -13.4%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -2.8%

St George W. (A) 20.7%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -1.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

SC Wanderers face St George W. in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Wednesday, June 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC Wanderers a 57% chance, the draw 23% and St George W. 21%, so SC Wanderers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for SC Wanderers and 0.6 for St George W. (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC Wanderers are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.67 for St George W.. This match finished 8-0.

SC Wanderers vs St George W. Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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