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Caboolture vs Ipswich Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 08:00

Caboolture

PPG 1.57 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ipswich

PPG 2.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-14.2%0-24.3%0-33.0%0-4+2.4%1 1-03.8%1-17.7%1-27.9%1-35.4%1-4+4.5%2 2-03.4%2-17.1%2-27.3%2-35.0%2-4+4.1%3 3-02.1%3-14.3%3-24.4%3-33.0%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-13.0%4+-23.1%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 41.9% — — —

Over 2.5 65.4% — — —

Over 3.5 44.5% — — —

BTTS 63.6% — — —

Home O1.5 55.0% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.6%

A 42% / xG 1.8-2.1 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 1–2✓ 7.9%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Caboolture1.8

Ipswich2.1

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CABOOLTURE · PPG 1.57

IPSWICH · PPG 2.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Caboolture (H) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ipswich (A) 41.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Caboolture face Ipswich in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Caboolture a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Ipswich 42%, so Ipswich are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Caboolture and 2.1 for Ipswich (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Caboolture are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 2.40 for Ipswich. This match finished 1-2.

Caboolture vs Ipswich Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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